I always hear people talking about point spreads when betting on NFL games, but I’m still a bit lost on how they actually work. I get that it’s different from a moneyline, but the whole idea of a team winning but still “not covering” is confusing. For example, if a favorite wins the game, how can someone still lose their bet? Could someone explain this in a simple way, maybe with a real example of a spread line?
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What makes spreads interesting is how many factors go into setting them. Oddsmakers look at things like team point differential, injuries, or even weather before a line is made. That’s why you’ll sometimes see a home team automatically given around three points — it’s baked into the spread because the crowd and conditions really do matter. It turns betting into more of a puzzle than just picking which side wins outright.